Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.003888 0.004087 0.004291 0.004517 0.004759 0.005012 0.005296
2025-07-20 0.003589 0.003891 0.004213 0.004585 0.005004 0.005462 0.006004
2025-07-27 0.003339 0.003692 0.004080 0.004541 0.005077 0.005685 0.006430
2025-08-03 0.003154 0.003542 0.003979 0.004511 0.005145 0.005883 0.006819
2025-08-10 0.002999 0.003413 0.003887 0.004475 0.005193 0.006050 0.007167
2025-08-17 0.002927 0.003373 0.003892 0.004549 0.005369 0.006373 0.007716
2025-08-24 0.002819 0.003282 0.003829 0.004533 0.005427 0.006545 0.008080
2025-08-31 0.002715 0.003190 0.003759 0.004502 0.005461 0.006684 0.008401
2025-09-07 0.002609 0.003090 0.003673 0.004443 0.005454 0.006765 0.008643
2025-09-14 0.002510 0.002995 0.003588 0.004381 0.005437 0.006828 0.008860
2025-09-21 0.002450 0.002945 0.003557 0.004387 0.005508 0.007010 0.009250
2025-09-28 0.002333 0.002819 0.003425 0.004253 0.005382 0.006915 0.009234
2025-10-05 0.002280 0.002774 0.003396 0.004257 0.005447 0.007088 0.009622
2025-10-12 0.002255 0.002764 0.003412 0.004319 0.005595 0.007385 0.010214
2025-10-19 0.002190 0.002700 0.003354 0.004279 0.005594 0.007467 0.010480
2025-10-26 0.002134 0.002645 0.003306 0.004251 0.005609 0.007570 0.010781
2025-11-02 0.002079 0.002591 0.003257 0.004218 0.005615 0.007659 0.011064
2025-11-09 0.002065 0.002590 0.003280 0.004286 0.005770 0.007980 0.011743
2025-11-16 0.002022 0.002548 0.003245 0.004271 0.005800 0.008107 0.012107
2025-11-23 0.001976 0.002501 0.003203 0.004242 0.005808 0.008200 0.012416
2025-11-30 0.001924 0.002445 0.003144 0.004188 0.005775 0.008225 0.012607
2025-12-07 0.001873 0.002388 0.003085 0.004131 0.005734 0.008235 0.012772
2025-12-14 0.001845 0.002363 0.003069 0.004137 0.005790 0.008405 0.013232